235 lines
16 KiB
JSON
Executable File
235 lines
16 KiB
JSON
Executable File
{
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"aggregated_signal": {
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"timestamp": "2025-12-04T01:26:44.257404",
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"final_signal": "HOLD",
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"final_confidence": 0.28,
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"consensus": "CONSENSUS_HOLD",
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"agreement_score": 0.28,
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"quantitative_signal": {
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"signal_type": "HOLD",
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"signal": "HOLD",
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"confidence": 0.0,
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"composite_score": 33.2,
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"scores": {
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"trend": -23.1,
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"momentum": 65,
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"orderflow": 100,
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"breakout": 0
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}
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},
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"llm_signal": {
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"signal_type": "HOLD",
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"signal": "HOLD",
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"confidence": 0.55,
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"reasoning": "多周期综合分析显示市场处于关键抉择期。短期（5m-1h）陷入无序震荡，缺乏交易价值。中期（4h-1d）在$90,156-$93,932构建震荡平台，MACD有修复迹象，倾向于在支撑位附近寻找低吸机会。长期（1d-1w）仍处于自11月高点以来的大级别盘整中，周线上涨趋势未改但动能减弱。当前核心矛盾是中期震荡与长期趋势的共振点尚未出现，需等待更明确的突破信号。风险主要来自震荡区间内的假突破和低成交量下的价格异动。",
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"key_factors": [
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"4小时及日线级别宽幅震荡区间的突破方向",
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"成交量能否在关键价位有效放大",
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"日线MACD能否形成金叉确认反弹",
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"周线RSI（40.7）能否回升至50中性区域以上"
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],
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"opportunities": {
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"short_term_5m_15m_1h": {
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"exists": false,
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"direction": null,
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"entry_price": 0,
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"stop_loss": 0,
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"take_profit": 0,
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"reasoning": "当前价格$92,488.90位于短期震荡区间中部。5分钟和15分钟周期趋势为弱势下跌，但1小时周期为强势上涨，多周期信号矛盾。RSI和MACD指标均呈中性或弱信号，成交量缩量，缺乏明确的短期方向性突破动能。预期盈利空间不足1%，建议观望。"
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},
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"medium_term_4h_1d": {
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"exists": true,
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"direction": "LONG",
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"entry_price": 91500.0,
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"stop_loss": 90100.0,
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"take_profit": 94500.0,
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"reasoning": "4小时和日线图显示价格在$90,156-$93,932区间内宽幅震荡。当前价格接近区间中下部。日线MACD死叉收窄，有潜在底背离迹象。若价格能回踩并站稳$91,500（近期多次反弹的支撑位）上方，可视为中期做多机会，目标看向区间上沿$94,500附近，盈利空间约3.2%。"
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},
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"long_term_1d_1w": {
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"exists": false,
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"direction": null,
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"entry_price": 0,
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"stop_loss": 0,
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"take_profit": 0,
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"reasoning": "周线趋势虽为上涨，但RSI（40.7）偏弱，且价格仍处于11月以来的宽幅震荡区间（$83,786 - $101,450）内。日线级别趋势不明，缺乏明确的长期趋势启动信号。当前价格位于区间中部，直接追涨或杀跌的风险回报比不佳，建议等待更明确的突破信号。"
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},
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"ambush": {
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"exists": true,
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"price_level": 90100.0,
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"reasoning": "基于4小时和日线K线数据，$90,100-$90,156区域是近期多次测试的关键支撑区间（12月1日、12月3日低点）。若价格因市场情绪再次回落至此区域并出现企稳迹象（如长下影线、成交量放大），是风险可控的埋伏做多点位，止损可设在$88,900下方。"
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},
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"intraday": {
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"exists": false,
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"direction": null,
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"entry_price": 0,
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"stop_loss": 0,
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"take_profit": 0,
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"reasoning": "当前价格$92,488.90位于短期震荡区间中部。5分钟和15分钟周期趋势为弱势下跌，但1小时周期为强势上涨，多周期信号矛盾。RSI和MACD指标均呈中性或弱信号，成交量缩量，缺乏明确的短期方向性突破动能。预期盈利空间不足1%，建议观望。"
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},
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"swing": {
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"exists": true,
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"direction": "LONG",
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"entry_price": 91500.0,
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"stop_loss": 90100.0,
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"take_profit": 94500.0,
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"reasoning": "4小时和日线图显示价格在$90,156-$93,932区间内宽幅震荡。当前价格接近区间中下部。日线MACD死叉收窄，有潜在底背离迹象。若价格能回踩并站稳$91,500（近期多次反弹的支撑位）上方，可视为中期做多机会，目标看向区间上沿$94,500附近，盈利空间约3.2%。"
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}
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},
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"recommendations_by_timeframe": {
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"short_term": "短期（5m/15m/1h）建议观望。价格处于无趋势震荡中，技术指标矛盾，日内交易缺乏明确的、盈利空间≥1%的机会。避免在$92,000-$93,000区间内频繁操作。",
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"medium_term": "中期（4h/1d）可关注回调做多机会。等待价格回落至$91,500附近企稳后分批布局，止损设于$90,100下方，目标看向$94,500。若直接向上突破$93,000并站稳，可轻仓追多，目标$94,500。",
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"long_term": "长期（1d/1w）建议继续持有现有仓位或保持观望。需等待价格有效突破$94,000（确认短期强势）或跌破$89,000（确认转弱）来明确大方向。在方向明确前，不宜进行大规模长期仓位调整。"
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},
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"trade_type": "MULTI_TIMEFRAME",
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"risk_level": "MEDIUM"
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},
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"levels": {
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"current_price": 92485.5,
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"entry": 91991.05,
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"stop_loss": 91291.05,
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"take_profit_1": 93491.05,
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"take_profit_2": 93491.05,
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"take_profit_3": 93491.05,
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"entry_range": {
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"quant": 92482.1,
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"llm": 91500.0,
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"diff_pct": 1.07
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},
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"stop_loss_range": {
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"quant": 92482.1,
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"llm": 90100.0,
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"diff_pct": 2.61
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},
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"take_profit_1_range": {
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"quant": 92482.1,
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"llm": 94500.0,
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"diff_pct": 2.16
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}
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},
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"risk_reward_ratio": 2.14,
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"recommendation": "量化和AI分析均建议观望,等待更好的机会",
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"warnings": [
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"⚠️ 量化和AI信号严重分歧,建议观望",
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"⚠️ 量化信号置信度较低",
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"⚠️ stop_loss建议差异较大: 量化$92482.10 vs AI$90100.00 (2.6%)"
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]
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},
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"market_analysis": {
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"price": 92482.1,
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"trend": {
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"direction": "下跌",
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"strength": "weak",
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"phase": "下跌后反弹",
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"adx": 9.8,
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"ema_alignment": "bearish"
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},
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"momentum": {
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"rsi": 51.8,
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"rsi_status": "中性偏强",
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"rsi_trend": "上升中",
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"macd_signal": "金叉扩大",
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"macd_hist": 24.4447
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}
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},
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"quantitative_signal": {
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"timestamp": "2025-12-04T01:26:02.011873",
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"signal_type": "HOLD",
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"signal_strength": 0.33,
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"composite_score": 33.2,
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"confidence": 0.0,
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"consensus_score": 0.55,
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"profit_pct": 0,
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"scores": {
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"trend": -23.1,
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"momentum": 65,
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"orderflow": 100,
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"breakout": 0
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},
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"levels": {
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"current_price": 92482.1,
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"entry": 92482.1,
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"stop_loss": 92482.1,
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"take_profit_1": 92482.1,
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"take_profit_2": 92482.1,
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"take_profit_3": 92482.1
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},
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"risk_reward_ratio": 0,
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"reasoning": "趋势下跌 (weak); RSI=52; MACD 金叉扩大; 订单流: 强买方主导"
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},
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"llm_signal": {
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"timestamp": "2025-12-04T01:26:44.257201",
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"signal_type": "HOLD",
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"confidence": 0.55,
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"trade_type": "MULTI_TIMEFRAME",
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"reasoning": "多周期综合分析显示市场处于关键抉择期。短期（5m-1h）陷入无序震荡，缺乏交易价值。中期（4h-1d）在$90,156-$93,932构建震荡平台，MACD有修复迹象，倾向于在支撑位附近寻找低吸机会。长期（1d-1w）仍处于自11月高点以来的大级别盘整中，周线上涨趋势未改但动能减弱。当前核心矛盾是中期震荡与长期趋势的共振点尚未出现，需等待更明确的突破信号。风险主要来自震荡区间内的假突破和低成交量下的价格异动。",
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"opportunities": {
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"short_term_5m_15m_1h": {
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"exists": false,
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"direction": null,
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"entry_price": 0,
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"stop_loss": 0,
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"take_profit": 0,
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"reasoning": "当前价格$92,488.90位于短期震荡区间中部。5分钟和15分钟周期趋势为弱势下跌，但1小时周期为强势上涨，多周期信号矛盾。RSI和MACD指标均呈中性或弱信号，成交量缩量，缺乏明确的短期方向性突破动能。预期盈利空间不足1%，建议观望。"
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},
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"medium_term_4h_1d": {
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"exists": true,
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"direction": "LONG",
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"entry_price": 91500.0,
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"stop_loss": 90100.0,
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"take_profit": 94500.0,
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"reasoning": "4小时和日线图显示价格在$90,156-$93,932区间内宽幅震荡。当前价格接近区间中下部。日线MACD死叉收窄，有潜在底背离迹象。若价格能回踩并站稳$91,500（近期多次反弹的支撑位）上方，可视为中期做多机会，目标看向区间上沿$94,500附近，盈利空间约3.2%。"
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},
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"long_term_1d_1w": {
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"exists": false,
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"direction": null,
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"entry_price": 0,
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"stop_loss": 0,
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"take_profit": 0,
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"reasoning": "周线趋势虽为上涨，但RSI（40.7）偏弱，且价格仍处于11月以来的宽幅震荡区间（$83,786 - $101,450）内。日线级别趋势不明，缺乏明确的长期趋势启动信号。当前价格位于区间中部，直接追涨或杀跌的风险回报比不佳，建议等待更明确的突破信号。"
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},
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"ambush": {
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"exists": true,
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"price_level": 90100.0,
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"reasoning": "基于4小时和日线K线数据，$90,100-$90,156区域是近期多次测试的关键支撑区间（12月1日、12月3日低点）。若价格因市场情绪再次回落至此区域并出现企稳迹象（如长下影线、成交量放大），是风险可控的埋伏做多点位，止损可设在$88,900下方。"
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},
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"intraday": {
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"exists": false,
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"direction": null,
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"entry_price": 0,
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"stop_loss": 0,
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"take_profit": 0,
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"reasoning": "当前价格$92,488.90位于短期震荡区间中部。5分钟和15分钟周期趋势为弱势下跌，但1小时周期为强势上涨，多周期信号矛盾。RSI和MACD指标均呈中性或弱信号，成交量缩量，缺乏明确的短期方向性突破动能。预期盈利空间不足1%，建议观望。"
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||
},
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"swing": {
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"exists": true,
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||
"direction": "LONG",
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||
"entry_price": 91500.0,
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||
"stop_loss": 90100.0,
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||
"take_profit": 94500.0,
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||
"reasoning": "4小时和日线图显示价格在$90,156-$93,932区间内宽幅震荡。当前价格接近区间中下部。日线MACD死叉收窄，有潜在底背离迹象。若价格能回踩并站稳$91,500（近期多次反弹的支撑位）上方，可视为中期做多机会，目标看向区间上沿$94,500附近，盈利空间约3.2%。"
|
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}
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},
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"recommendations_by_timeframe": {
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"short_term": "短期（5m/15m/1h）建议观望。价格处于无趋势震荡中，技术指标矛盾，日内交易缺乏明确的、盈利空间≥1%的机会。避免在$92,000-$93,000区间内频繁操作。",
|
||
"medium_term": "中期（4h/1d）可关注回调做多机会。等待价格回落至$91,500附近企稳后分批布局，止损设于$90,100下方，目标看向$94,500。若直接向上突破$93,000并站稳，可轻仓追多，目标$94,500。",
|
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"long_term": "长期（1d/1w）建议继续持有现有仓位或保持观望。需等待价格有效突破$94,000（确认短期强势）或跌破$89,000（确认转弱）来明确大方向。在方向明确前，不宜进行大规模长期仓位调整。"
|
||
},
|
||
"levels": {
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||
"current_price": 92488.9,
|
||
"entry": 91500.0,
|
||
"stop_loss": 90100.0,
|
||
"take_profit_1": 94500.0,
|
||
"take_profit_2": 94500.0,
|
||
"take_profit_3": 94500.0
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||
},
|
||
"risk_level": "MEDIUM",
|
||
"key_factors": [
|
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"4小时及日线级别宽幅震荡区间的突破方向",
|
||
"成交量能否在关键价位有效放大",
|
||
"日线MACD能否形成金叉确认反弹",
|
||
"周线RSI（40.7）能否回升至50中性区域以上"
|
||
],
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"raw_response": "```json\n{\n \"signal\": \"HOLD\",\n \"confidence\": 0.55,\n \"key_levels\": {\n \"short_term\": {\n \"support\": [91637.0, 90906.0, 90643.0],\n \"resistance\": [92488.0, 92841.0, 93068.0]\n },\n \"medium_term\": {\n \"support\": [90156.0, 89225.0, 86970.0],\n \"resistance\": [93932.0, 94544.0, 95560.0]\n },\n \"long_term\": {\n \"support\": [80600.0, 83786.0, 86066.0],\n \"resistance\": [101450.0, 104670.0, 107473.0]\n }\n },\n \"opportunities\": {\n \"short_term_5m_15m_1h\": {\n \"exists\": false,\n \"direction\": null,\n \"entry_price\": null,\n \"stop_loss\": null,\n \"take_profit\": null,\n \"reasoning\": \"当前价格$92,488.90位于短期震荡区间中部。5分钟和15分钟周期趋势为弱势下跌，但1小时周期为强势上涨，多周期信号矛盾。RSI和MACD指标均呈中性或弱信号，成交量缩量，缺乏明确的短期方向性突破动能。预期盈利空间不足1%，建议观望。\"\n },\n \"medium_term_4h_1d\": {\n \"exists\": true,\n \"direction\": \"LONG\",\n \"entry_price\": 91500.0,\n \"stop_loss\": 90100.0,\n \"take_profit\": 94500.0,\n \"reasoning\": \"4小时和日线图显示价格在$90,156-$93,932区间内宽幅震荡。当前价格接近区间中下部。日线MACD死叉收窄，有潜在底背离迹象。若价格能回踩并站稳$91,500（近期多次反弹的支撑位）上方，可视为中期做多机会，目标看向区间上沿$94,500附近，盈利空间约3.2%。\"\n },\n \"long_term_1d_1w\": {\n \"exists\": false,\n \"direction\": null,\n \"entry_price\": null,\n \"stop_loss\": null,\n \"take_profit\": null,\n \"reasoning\": \"周线趋势虽为上涨，但RSI（40.7）偏弱，且价格仍处于11月以来的宽幅震荡区间（$83,786 - $101,450）内。日线级别趋势不明，缺乏明确的长期趋势启动信号。当前价格位于区间中部，直接追涨或杀跌的风险回报比不佳，建议等待更明确的突破信号。\"\n },\n \"ambush\": {\n \"exists\": true,\n \"price_level\": 90100.0,\n \"reasoning\": \"基于4小时和日线K线数据，$90,100-$90,156区域是近期多次测试的关键支撑区间（12月1日、12月3日低点）。若价格因市场情绪再次回落至此区域并出现企稳迹象（如长下影线、成交量放大），是风险可控的埋伏做多点位，止损可设在$88,900下方。\"\n }\n },\n \"recommendations_by_timeframe\": {\n \"short_term\": \"短期（5m/15m/1h）建议观望。价格处于无趋势震荡中，技术指标矛盾，日内交易缺乏明确的、盈利空间≥1%的机会。避免在$92,000-$93,000区间内频繁操作。\",\n \"medium_term\": \"中期（4h/1d）可关注回调做多机会。等待价格回落至$91,500附近企稳后分批布局，止损设于$90,100下方，目标看向$94,500。若直接向上突破$93,000并站稳，可轻仓追多，目标$94,500。\",\n \"long_term\": \"长期（1d/1w）建议继续持有现有仓位或保持观望。需等待价格有效突破$94,000（确认短期强势）或跌破$89,000（确认转弱）来明确大方向。在方向明确前，不宜进行大规模长期仓位调整。\"\n },\n \"reasoning\": \"多周期综合分析显示市场处于关键抉择期。短期（5m-1h）陷入无序震荡，缺乏交易价值。中期（4h-1d）在$90,156-$93,932构建震荡平台，MACD有修复迹象，倾向于在支撑位附近寻找低吸机会。长期（1d-1w）仍处于自11月高点以来的大级别盘整中，周线上涨趋势未改但动能减弱。当前核心矛盾是中期震荡与长期趋势的共振点尚未出现，需等待更明确的突破信号。风险主要来自震荡区间内的假突破和低成交量下的价格异动。\",\n \"risk_level\": \"MEDIUM\",\n \"key_factors\": [\"4小时及日线级别宽幅震荡区间的突破方向\", \"成交量能否在关键价位有效放大\", \"日线MACD能否形成金叉确认反弹\", \"周线RSI（40.7）能否回升至50中性区域以上\"]\n}\n```",
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"risk_reward_ratio": 2.14
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}
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} |